AFL Round 14 continues on Saturday with three games scheduled. Here we give an example and offer our best bets for the match in which the Power will host the Swans in Adelaide Oval!
As always, we’ve got you covered with a full preview and betting tips for the game and don’t forget to check out our AFL Tips page, where you can check out our coverage of all the Round 14 action.
Port Adelaide vs Sydney Betting Tips
Adelaide Oval, Saturday 18e June 13:45 (AEST)
Injuries: Trent Dumont (Calf), Orazio Fantasia (Quad), Scott Lycett (Shoulder), Trent McKenzie (Concussion), Jake Pasini (Knee) Josh Sinn (Groin), Travis Boak (HS Protocol), Robbie Gray (General Pain )
The Power will be without a number of protagonists on Saturday. Orazio Fantasia continues to miss with a quad injury, as does Scott Lycett with a shoulder. Veterans Robbie Gray and Travis Boak are also on the sidelines on lap 14.
Port Adelaide came up against the in-form Tigers last weekend, but eventually fell back by a few goals. That was their second road loss on the spin and makes it very difficult for them to push for a place in the final. The Power is now in 12e place on the ladder with a 5-7 ‘record’ and will probably need to win seven or eight of their remaining 10 games to secure a place in the top eight. That said, they have won five of their last seven games and appear to be heading in the right direction.
Injuries: Tom Hickey (Teen), Josh Kennedy (Hamstring), Sam Naismith (Knee), Colin O’Riordan (Head), Angus Sheldrick (Knee)
The Swans are still without both big men in Tom Hickey and Sam Naismith due to leg injuries. Josh Kennedy is the other key out after suffering a serious hamstring injury, which will sideline him for the next 6-8 weeks.
After a bad month of football in which they lost three out of four games, two of them against the bottom half, the Swans recovered in a big way in their two games pre-bye with wins over two great teams in Richmond and Melbourne. Those two key wins kept the Swans in the mix with the top teams, with their 8-4 record placing them seventh on the ladder.
The Power has dominated this matchup in recent years with wins in each of their last five games against the Swans, four of them by more than 23 points. However, the Swans are clearly the better team this campaign and will cherish their chances of taking another win along the way. That said, this is too hard to call and I’ll instead be looking at the overall points market for my best bet here.
Each of the last three meetings between these sides has totaled 159 points or less, and five of the last six games for the Power this season have also fallen below that total. I expect that trend to continue here with the unders saluting.
Less than 159.5 points (1 UNIT)
Luke Parker is having another great season and continues to hit the scoreboard as he rests forward. He has scored in four of his last five games and will be instrumental in finding the big sticks again.
Luke Parker Anytime Goal Kicker ($1.90 Ladbrokes)
Todd Marshall has probably been lucky enough to win the occasional game in his young career, but he’s certainly justified his spot this season. He has scored 17 goals from his last seven games and should be good for several goals again on Saturday, provided he gets the stock.
Todd Marshall 2+ Goals ($1.68 Ladbrokes)
Dan Houston is Port Adelaide’s best player this season in my opinion and is a great value in the waste markets this weekend. He has averaged 26 strokes per game over his last three and I like him here again for 25+.
Dan Houston 25+ Divestments ($2.40 Ladbrokes)