2022 AFL Round 16: Adelaide vs Melbourne Preview & Betting Tips


In the second of four AFL Round 16 games on Saturday, the Crows will host the Demons at Adelaide Oval. Find our best spread and player prop bets on this fixture here!

As always, we’ve got you covered with a full preview and betting tips for the game and don’t forget to check out our AFL Tips page, where you can check out our coverage of all the round 16 action.

Adelaide vs Melbourne betting tips

Adelaide Oval, Saturday 2nd July 4:35 PM (AEST)


Injuries: Will Hamill (concussion), Shane McAdam (ankle), Luke Pedlar (groin), Paul Seedsman (concussion), Rory Sloane (knee)

Injuries are not a big deal for the Crows at this point with only a handful of players unavailable. Rory Sloane continues to miss with a knee injury while Shane McAdam has an ankle problem.

The Crows had the easy kill in North Melbourne last weekend, beating them by 57 points in Tasmania. It was the first time since round 5 and their second time for the season that they could crack triple digits. The Crows have faced the two bottom ends of their last three games and have now increased their win tally to five for the season, which is good enough for 13e place on the ladder.


Injuries: Max Gawn (ankle), Blake Howes (foot), Tom McDonald (ankle), Joel Smith (ankle), Daniel Turner (face)

Max Gawn is the big out for the Demons right now as he continues to recover from an ankle injury. Joel Smith and Tom McDonald are the others forced to the sidelines.

The Demons recovered from a mid-season dip with an impressive 64-point win over a fellow Lions contender last weekend. They absolutely blew them out of the park after fifteen minutes in an impressive return to form, despite being without captain and superstar Max Gawn. As a result of that win, the Demons reclaimed first place on the ladder with their record now at 11-3 with eight games left.

Match Prediction

Both teams were able to come back from a loss in Round 14 with big wins last weekend, but it’s the Demons who are clearly the much stronger team and better able to carry on. They were easy thread to thread winners the last time they faced the Crows and have only gotten stronger since that game. The Crows don’t have the weapons out to test the Demons in four quarters and I expect the reigning prime ministers to make relatively light work of this.

Melbourne Demons -30.5 (1.5 UNITS)


Prop Bets

I expect the big Crows to be well held by the Demons defense, but they might get a little joy with their little one. James Rowe has proven to be a constant threat forward, having kicked at least one goal in four of his last six appearances. He remains good value to kick another one this weekend.

James Rowe Anytime Goal Kicker ($1.80 Ladbrokes)

Bayley Fritsch continues to thrive for the Demons and is arguably in the best shape of his career right now. He has scored at least three goals in five of his last six games and should get a lot of attention on Saturday.

Bayley Fritsch 3+ Goals ($2.10 Ladbrokes)

Luke Jackson has taken over lead ruck duties for the Demons in Max Gawn’s absence and while a great player in his own right, he sometimes allows his opponents to do what they want. Oscar McInerney had 23 touches with Jackson last weekend and I think Reilly O’Brien will have the same joy this weekend.

Reilly O’Brien 15+ Divestments ($1.80 Ladbrokes)