2022 AFL Round 16: Essendon vs Sydney Preview & Betting Tips

Saturday’s four games in Round 16 of the AFL start at 1:45 p.m. when the Bombers receive the Swans from the MCG. As always, we’ve got you covered with a full preview and betting tips for the clash below.

Don’t forget to visit our AFL Tips page for special previews of all the Round 16 action this weekend.

Essendon vs Sydney Betting Tips

MCG, Saturday, July 2, 1:45 PM (AEST)


Injuries: Nix Cox, Tom Cutler, Michael Hurley, Andrew McGrath, Devon Smith, James Stewart, Tex Wanganeen (Out)

The Bombers are bringing star midfielder Darcy Parish back from injury this week, although his running mate Andrew McGrath will miss at least another week due to an adductor injury.

Essendon claimed a fantastic win over the Saints on lap 14 but it looks like they were back to their old ways when they traveled to Perth and went to see the Eagles over the weekend. Granted, the Eagles are starting to get some of their cavalry back into the lineup, but it was a match Essendon had expected to win after finding form the week before.

The Bombers are in 16th place on the ladder having won just three games this season, but they do have some games to win in the race home, including back-to-back games against North Melbourne and GWS in round 20 and 21.


Injuries: Josh Kennedy, Sam Naismith (Out)

The Swans are probably the healthiest team in the league right now. Aside from Sam Naismith’s season-long knee injury, the only absence they will have this weekend is Josh Kennedy, who will be sidelined for 4-6 weeks with a hamstring strain.

Sydney was far too good for the Saints at home last weekend, taking a 51-point win after dominant games from defenders Jake Lloyd and Nick Blakey. Lance Franklin also turned the clock back on the win with a few special moments, and the Swans seem to be building momentum at the right time of the season.

They currently rank 6th on the AFL ladder and have arguably the most favorable run home from any of the top eight teams with games against the Bombers, Crows, Giants, Kangaroos and another clash against the Saints that have yet to come.

Match Prediction

The Swans need to keep rolling here. Their depth is their greatest asset at the moment and all their great stars are fit and firing. However, the one thing about these two teams is that they have consistently played in absolute thrillers over the past few years.

Sydney took a 58-point win at the SCG when the two teams faced each other earlier this season, but the winning margins from the previous five games between the Swans and Bombers were 5, 10, 6, 3 and 7. I think the Swans win this. one, but expect the semi-rejuvenated Dons to keep it relatively close.

Sydney 1-39

$2.10 (1.5 units)

Prop Bets

Nick Blakey played his best game of the season this weekend, with 31 touches and five within 50. He’s snatched the kcikout responsibilities from Jake Lloyd, so he’s seeing a lot more football this season, with 20+ touches so far in 8/ 13 matches. There’s a good chance he’s 25+ again this week, especially considering the Bombers average of 5th in the league, despite being 16th in total points scored per game.

Blakey 25+ Divestments ($2.45 at Ladbrokes)

Sam Reid represents the best value for money in terms of goalscorers in Sydney’s front line this weekend in my opinion. He was held goalless in his last two games, but came from six in his previous two games. Has kicked 6 goals in his last 4 games against Essendon.

Sam Reid 2+ Goals ($2.55 at Ladbrokes)