2022 AFL Round 17: Geelong vs Melbourne Preview & Betting Tips

BLOCKBUSTER ALERT! Geelong takes on Melbourne in a ravishing Thursday night game to open Round 17 in the AFL this week. As always, we’ve got you covered with a special preview and betting tips for the clash below.

Don’t forget to visit our AFL Tips page for content on every game in round 17 this weekend.

Geelong vs Melbourne Betting Tips

GMHBA Stadium, Thursday, July 7, 7:20 p.m. (AEST)


Injuries/Unavailable: Tom Stewart (Out) Jon Ceglar, Brandan Parfitt, Sam Simpson (Test)

The Cats had the proverbial goodbye on round 16 when they took on the kangaroos in what turned out to be an ugly affair. The Roos were impressive in the first quarter, but then in the next three quarters they could only amassed 15 within 50’s, eventually pulverized by the Cats for a total of 112 points.

Jeremy Cameron continued his impressive season with another best performance on the ground for the Cats with four goals and a high 30 disposals season. It was the perfect match to help some of the veterans back into the wing due to injury such as Gary Rohan, Patrick Dangerfield and Shaun Higgins, the latter of which was used as the sub.


Injuries: Luke Jackson, Max Gawn (Test) Tom McDonald, Blake Howes, Joel Smith, Daniel Turner (Out)

The Demons wait with bated breath for news about the health of ruck combo Max Gawn and Luke Jackson. They were able to get the job done against the Crows over the weekend without the pair, but were heavily dominated by Riley O’Brien in the ruck, and will be desperate to get one of them, if not both, back in the line to get up. against a much stronger Cats outfit.

Christian Pettracca was able to perform in the absence of the big men over the weekend against the Crows, taking his highest-rated football game of his career at 33 strokes, 20 of them contested and three goals.

Match Prediction

Everyone finds it difficult to predict a winner here, even the bookmakers. The odds are dead even for this clash at $1.90 each and I’m not confident in getting even close without knowing whether Jackson or Gawn are definitely playing.

I do like the look of the unders here. The Demons and Cats defense is ranked 1st and 3rd in the AFL this season, with just 63.1 and 69.3 points per game, respectively. The last six games between these two teams have resulted in just 142.3 points per game.

Below 160.5

$1.88 (1.5 units)

Prop Bets

Really like the W2W – every other result market here for $1.87. These two teams have played in a number of close games in recent years, with the exception of, of course, the outburst of the Demons in last season’s qualifying round. Their three previous encounters had an average margin of just 10.6 points and two of them had the ‘any other outcome’ salute.

W2W – Any other result ($1.87 at Ladbrokes)

Jeremy Cameron was arguably the best player in the league this season. He leads the Coleman medal with 46 goals and is without a doubt the most dynamic forward in terms of scoring engagement and goal assists. However, his take-off line is pretty high this week after a massive 30 touches against the Roos. It’s $1.73 for 20+ at Ladbrokes, so if the sales lines drop later in the week, I expect it to be 20.5 or 21.5 at most outlets. I like the unders there. Only had 20 twice this year.

Cameron under 19.5 divestments (opportunities coming soon)