Adelaide and Collingwood will clash in the first of five major AFL games on Saturday afternoon of Round 18 with the first bounce from Adelaide Oval at 1:45 PM. While the Crows are only playing for pride at this stage of the season, the Pies are on a seven-game winning streak and are well on their way to action in September. They want to maintain that momentum, but this threatens to become a real danger game.
Read on for our preview and free AFL betting tips in front of Adelaide vs Collingwood this Saturday!
Adelaide vs Collingwood betting tips
Adelaide oval. Saturday July 16, 1:45 AM AEST
Injuries: Rory Sloane, Paul Seedsman, Josh Rachele, Luke Pedlar
After a pretty meager loss to Hawthorn last week, Adelaide has made some interesting picks at the roster with James Rowe and Jackson Hately left out of the side despite showing some promise this season. They’ve also dropped Matt Crouch for the third time this season so if he doesn’t check Melbourne property prices I’d be shocked. Lachlan Murphy, Mitchell Hinge and Shane McAdam are the replacements – useful contributors but barely enough to move the needle as the Crows look to the future.
It’s interesting that someone like Rory Laird is being praised for 40 dives and no meter gains, but Matt Crouch is being crucified for it.
Either way, the key to the Crows’ success in this one is their forward line. Taylor Walker has re-signed for another year and has performed excellently on the pitch after a rocky start to the season off the pitch. He led from the front with his physique and dominated the opposing defenders. This has enabled guys like Darcy Fogarty and Riley Thilthorpe to develop their skills on the second and third string defenders, giving them wonderful preparation for future seasons. The Pies have been woeful in stopping key forwards this season, with or without Darcy Moore, so I expect Tex and Co to be tough to stop.
Injuries: Jack Madgen, Nathan Kreuger, Reef McInnes, Brodie Grundy, Jordan De Goey, Charlie Dean
The Pies got out of jail last weekend after trailing 28 points against the bottom kangaroos to avoid complete embarrassment. North was definitely improved, but the Pies will want and need a better four-quarter performance here to win away from home.
They have struggled with injuries for most of the season, especially at their rear, but welcome Darcy Moore to this game. Brodie Grundy is only a few weeks away from his return, so it has been an outstanding period in terms of wins and losses with their prized possession on the sidelines. Darcy Cameron has stepped up and even Mason Cox has had more time instead of waving like a baby giraffe in the front row.
It’s Scott Pendlebury’s 350th AFL game this weekend, as he becomes only the 20th player in VFL/AFL history to reach that milestone. In an age of strength athletes, Pendlebury defies the trend as a silky smooth mover and elite ball user. The Pies are sure to be inspired by Pendles to ensure they take home a win.
The Pies should win for Pendles, but it won’t be easy. They will have to go back to the high pressure standards they have set themselves, making sure to limit the supply to the Crows power forwards. The Crows have lost eight of their last ten and seem to be looking forward to next season, so we’ll be supporting the Pies here.
$1.90 (1 unit)
As previously mentioned, the Pies have struggled to keep key forwards at bay all season. They made Nick Larkey look like a superstar last week when he scored 5 goals. They welcome Darcy Moore back but he’s not really a knocked out defender so I expect Taylor Walker to be hard to stop and I think he’ll be hungry for a big game. Happy to take better than even money for him to kick at least 3 of them.
Taylor Walker 3+ Goals – $2.05 at Ladbrokes
Now that Matt Crouch is out, I expect Sam Berry to get more time in the middle of the ground, especially with CBAs. Berry has been sensational this season and looks set to be a player of the future. We looked at the 20+ divestment market, and while that’s an opportunity, I think it’s better to take the 90+ AFL Fantasy points at a better price. Berry is an elite tackler who averages more than 9 tackles per game in his last 10 games, which is huge for fantasy scoring. The Pies are leaking fantasy dots down the middle, so happy to see Berry has a big game.
Sam Berry 90+ AFL Fantasy Points – $2.65 at Ladbrokes