2022 AFL Round 18: Hawthorn vs West Coast Preview & Betting Tips

After a promising few weeks, West Coast fell back to earth last week with a thumping loss to Carlton. On the other hand, Hawthorn returned to winning ways with a convincing win over Adelaide. The stakes in this round 18 AFL clash may be low in terms of ladder position, but both sides will aim to finish the season on a high note.

Remember that Before You Bet will preview every game of the 2022 AFL season, so be sure to check out our AFL Tips page for regular updates.

Hawthorn vs West Coast Betting Tips

MCG, Sunday 17e July, 1:10 PM (AEST)

hawthorn

Injuries: Lachlan Bramble, Tyler Brockman, Connor Downie, Sam Frost, Seamus Mitchell, Chad Wingard, James Worpel

Chad Wingard will miss the rest of the season with a hamstring injury, a brutal blow to the young Hawks side. Most absentees are out for the medium term, so Hawthorn will have to make the most of their current fit crop.

A season that started so promisingly for the baby Hawks has quickly faded, but last week’s win reminded football crowds of what they are capable of. Injuries have created unwelcome hurdles throughout the campaign, but for the most part, it seems Hawthorn is on the right track to rebuild their roster. Josh Ward, Connor McDonald, Ned Reeves, Mitch Lewis and Jai Newcombe have all performed admirably as young players in positions of responsibility, while the more experienced leaders have shown the leadership needed to keep the ship stable. Sam Mitchell hopes his chargers can take a few more wins before the seasons end to generate some momentum towards 2023.

west coast

Injuries: Nic Naitanui (out), Jack Petruccelle (out), Oscar Allen, Campbell Chesser, Tom Cole, Hugh Dixon, Luke Edwards, Tom Joyce, Jeremy McGovern, Dom Sheed, Connor West, Elliot Yeo

The West Coast injury list is long, as it has been for the duration of the campaign. Naitanui’s loss this week is significant, but reliable forward Jamie Cripps returns.

Three solid performances were followed by a stinker last week as the Eagles lost to Carlton by 63 points. At this point, it seems likely that West Coast will avoid the wooden spoon, but this year will still go down as a dark year in Eagles history. Two wins are not enough for such a big club and no doubt there will be a long autopsy in the summer. As such, the last six weeks will be about saving face and maybe a few wins on the board. The fans are still showing up, but that luxury won’t be afforded the Eagles this week as they set foot in foreign territory at the MCG.

Match Prediction

Hawthorn is a firm favorite for this encounter, despite their forming line not being any better than West Coast’s.

The Eagles have shown marked improvement over the past month, winning their last two games against the Hawks.

Furthermore, the young Hawks are exhausting, but the latter will enjoy playing in front of home fans.

As such, I am wary of putting all my eggs in the hawthorn basket.

Instead, a solid bet appears to be supporting Hawthorn in the first quarter. They have had a strong start to games all year, while West Coast failed to score in the first term against the Blues last week.

Line 1st Quarter – Hawks -7.5

$1.88 (1 unit)

Prop Bets

Moore has spent more time in midfield in recent weeks, attending 55% of center bounces against the Crows last week, racking up 29 touches for 129 fantasy points. I see that trend continuing, and even if he plays forward, Moore has hit 90+ seven times over the course of the season.

Dylan Moore 90+ Fantasy ($1.98 at Ladbrokes)

What a season this young striker has had. Lewis has kicked 36 goals in a limited campaign and played with five last week. He has failed to score three or more goals in just three games, and West Coast has been known to struggle with opponents.

Mitchell Lewis 3+ Goals ($1.98 at Ladbrokes)