2022 AFL Round 18: North Melbourne vs Richmond Preview & Betting Tips

Saturday night football sees the Kangaroos host Richmond in their first game after sacking David Noble. Will North Melbourne react and cause a huge shock? Or will the Tigers keep their place in the top eight?

Jack Tobin has you covered with a free preview and be sure to check out our AFL Tips page for coverage of every game in 2022.

North Melbourne vs Richmond Betting Tips

Marvel Stadium, Saturday, July 16, 4:35 PM AEST

North Melbourne

Injuries: Jackson Archer, Miller Bergman, Charlie Comben, Ben Cunnington, Aaron Hall, Will Phillips, Jared Polec, Jaidyn Stephenson, Tristian Xerri

Kayne Turner will be available after being in concussion protocols, while Jaidyn will miss Stepehnson after she was knocked out with a hip complaint. Jason Horne-Francis should be back in the seniors after a 29 divestment in the VFL on return from suspension. The availability of Tarryn Thomas is still unknown at this stage, with a potential return this week.

North Melbourne produced their best performance of the season last weekend, taking a lead of 26 points by three quarters before being run over in the fourth quarter in a seven point loss to Collingwood. The performance was not enough to save David Noble, who was fired on Tuesday morning, and VFL coach Leigh Adams was promoted to interim coach for the remainder of the season.

While a coach’s sacking usually leads to an improvement in results over the next few weeks, it’s hard to see how Leigh Adams can get anything more out of the side than David Noble. Teams tend to be more aggressive with their ball moves under janitor coaches with broken cuffs, so the way the Rose moves the ball should be a KPI for them.

Richmond

Injuries: Kane Lambert, Tom Lynch, Dustin Martin, Toby Nankervis, Jack Ross, Ivan Soldo, Sydney Stack

It has been an absolute bloodbath in terms of injuries over the past two weeks, with Tom Lynch, Toby Nankervis and Ivan Soldo all injured against the Suns last week. Richmond may not have a licensed ruckman this week, but they will likely get Trent Cotchin, Noah Balta and Josh Gibcus back on the sidelines.

Richmond looked to be pushing for a slope at the top four with seven wins from their last nine games en route to round 17, but a dramatic loss to the Suns now sees them within eight on percentage. The Tigers led Gold Coast by 40 points in the third quarter and 17 points with four minutes to play, before capitulated completely in the final stage when Noah Anderson kicked the winner after the siren to give the Suns a two-point victory.

The most interesting aspect for Richmond this week is what they are doing in the ruck position. Toby Nankervis, while not officially ruled out, looks likely to miss with a knee injury and Ivan Soldo is out with a broken thumb. The only other ruckman on the Tigers list are Samson Ryan, who has only played one game in his career in which he failed to get a decision, and Mate Colina, a Category B rookie and a very good project player. It’s hard to see either one being selected, meaning Noah Balta is looming as the most likely to be pushed into the ruck if he returns from injury this week.

Match Prediction

The Tigers will be buzzing after last week’s loss and despite the lack of some key characters, things can get ugly for the Kangaroos in this game. North Melbourne has lost fourteen games in a row by an average margin of 59 points, twelve of those fourteen losses by more than 46 points.

Richmond has won four of the last five encounters between these two sides and it’s hard to see things change. The Tigers are playing to maintain their eighth position and are relentless against the bottom five teams this season, with a 4-1 record and an average win margin of 49 points. The Kangaroos played their best last week and it’s hard to see them disappear from the canvas with the week they’ve had.

Richmond -42.5

$2.00 (2 units)

Prop Bets

Luke Davies-Uniacke was a bright spark in a horror year for North Melbourne and he produced the best performance of his career against Collingwood last week. Davies-Uniacke has averaged 29 sales per game over his last four games and has reached the mark of 30 in three of those four games. At $1.73, Davies-Uniacke is an excellent value for over 25 sales.

Luke Davies-Uniacke 25+ Divestments, $1.73 at Ladbrokes

If Richmond win this match as much as they should, Shai Bolton is going to have a field day. Bolton is having a fantastic season with 31 goals from 16 games, and has not been limited to less than 2 goals in his last four games. Bolton kicked 3.3 against the Suns and should generate many scoring shots against the Kangaroos.

Shai Bolton 3+ goals, $1.98 with Ladbrokes

Before suffering a concussion in round 15 against Geelong, Dion Prestia was in red-hot form. Prestia had 28, 36, 25, 25 and 33 disposals in the five games before his concussion. Prestia had 24 disposals on his return last weekend, and when he came up against the bottom seeded side in the AFL, Prestia could have a big outing.

Dion Prestia 30+ Divestments, $2.10 at Ladbrokes