AFL 5 Lessons Learned – Round 14 2022

The farewell rounds are done and dusted and an epic weekend awaits us.

It’s time for that five-legged multi afterwards we call AFL Five Lessons Learned.

(1) Top eight traffic congestion

Each team has now played 13 games and traffic for the top eight could give your city’s respective arteries a run for their money.

The blockage of 5e up to 12e is quite a bit and there is a good chance that some teams that have an excellent season will miss the finals by only a small percentage if current trends continue.

You would think Melbourne, Brisbane, Geelong and Freo are locked into the final and even Carlton could lay claim to it at the moment.

However, Richmond, St Kilda, Sydney, Collingwood, Western Bulldogs, Gold Coast and when things get really interesting Port Adelaide are all an opportunity when things go well.

Nine more games into the home and away season and she’s all up for grabs.

Check out this space and check out the AFL futures market for some potential value plays, especially with the snake and ladder nature of the last eight positions.

(2) Conquer the Giants

Since Mark McVeigh took over as the Giants janitor coach, the big big sound has taken on some big big scores (by modern footy standards).

The Giants have scored 323 points in their last three games, and gamblers who got the Overs for games involving GWS were very pleased with their investments.

Saturday night’s shootout against the Bulldogs was fun to watch, and while modern football connoisseurs lament the lack of defense, the gamblers who overshot don’t care.

(3) West Coast won’t win the wooden spoon

2022 has been nothing but grim for the West Coast Eagles, but it looks like Adam Simpson and his men have turned a corner.

Quite a few bettors expected the Cats to head west and post a nice little percentage boost, but the Eagles loss of 18 points is the dictionary definition of an honorable loss.

The injury list is getting smaller, as are the covid cases.

When the likes of Tim Kelly, Liam Ryan and Nic Nat get back on the paddock, it will be more like the spoon and the prized number 1 trailer hitch that comes with it might just go to Arden Street.

(4) Day rounds are boring

However, we can’t always have Group 1’s every week…

(5) There’s an epic round ahead

In just the fifth time since the last eight came into play in 1994, every team currently in the top eight will play against each other.

On Thursday evening, the second seeded Melbourne will receive the best of the ladder Brisbane.

Saturday arvo has Carlton fifth in third place on the Freo ladder, twilight fourth in Geelong “hosting” Richmond (sixth) and to round out Sydney (seventh) host St Kilda (eighth)

Not only are the top eight clashes worth their weight in gold, but 12e placed port at 11e placed Gold Coast to close out the round on Sunday night.

Even the west coast (18e) v Essendon (16e) Friday night match looks like an entertaining match.

This round could make or break the eight, but more importantly, footy tipping competitions.

In case you’re wondering, the lap and ladder positions look like this:

Thursday night
Melbourne (2nd) in Brisbane (1st)

Friday night
Western Bulldogs (10th) v Hawthorn (14th)
West Coast (18th) v Essendon (16th)

Saturday
Carlton (5th) v Fremantle (3rd)
Geelong (4th) v Richmond (6th)
Sydney (7th) v St Kilda (8th)

Sunday
North Melbourne (17th) v Adelaide (15th)
Collingwood (9th) v GWS (13th)
Port Adelaide (12th) v Gold Coast (11th)