Goals after the siren, major setbacks, fighters on crack – Round 17 had it all.
It’s fair to say footy is in a sweet spot in 2022 and the Punters are finding real value along the way.
As we do every week, we put together a little five-legged multi afterwards and package it in a blog we like to call AFL Five lessons learned.
(1) Geelong is not a flag favorite
… well, that’s what the market says anyway.
Despite their convincing 28-point win over the Demons on Thursday night that took them to the top of the ladder, the Cats remain in the second tier of bets on $4 to win this year’s premiership while the Dees still top the table. at $3.
Geelong has messaged the competition that they mean it and that they have pretty much hit another top four finish.
Is this the Cats group finally breaking through and winning a new flag for them or will the ghosts of recent finals come back in September to haunt them?
(2) Everyone can win every day
The days of the easy beats are over.
North Melbourne and West Coast gave their opponents a scare over the weekend and Essendon recorded a memorable win against COVID-ravaged Brisbane.
If anything, the ladder means nothing at this point and teams can’t take positions for granted – this plays in favor of the Punter looking for a bit of value.
The Punters who backed Essendon to beat Brisbane by $3.25 or even the Punter who won a $100 bet over the weekend on the Gold Coast Suns for $13 in the live market can vouch for this.
(3) The Gold Coast Suns are everyone’s second team
(Unless your barracks for Richmond)
Noah Anderson bringing out his inner Karmichael Hunt on Saturday night to kick a goal after the siren to win the game for the Suns over the Tigers will be one of the greatest moments in the history of the expansion club.
Could this be the time for the Gold Coast Suns to advance to the finals for the first time?
The Suns are 8-8, one game and a small percentage of eight, but the remaining home and away games, along with all the confidence in the world, could take the lads from Carrara to the final, making a fairytale story for season 2022.
Gold Coast are currently $4 to make the top eight in our betting market.
(4) Season over for the Bulldogs
While most barracks on the story that the Suns could be this year’s fairy tale, it’s not hard to suggest that the season is over for the Bulldogs.
There’s still a Lloyd Christmas-esque chance for the Dogs to make it, but their flight home and recent form suggest otherwise.
Currently, the dogs are $6 to make it to the finals.
The Bulldogs have a lot of talent and can beat anyone on their day, but I’m pretty sure the 2022 season is game over for the Dogs.
Dog fans, feel free to take a screenshot of this lesson learned and maybe yell me a drink if you make it to the finals after collecting your winnings from those $6 odds if I’m wrong.
(5) Blues v Cats is going to be a beauty
It’s not often we see five lessons learned, but Saturday night’s clash between Carlton and Geelong at the MCG will be the biggest game between the two clubs since the 1995 grand final.
The first-seeded Cats going up against the fifth-seeded Blues in front of a packed house could be the game of the year in what will be a superstar match-up with the likes of Cripps, Selwood, Walsh, Dangerfield, etc. in the paddock.
Geelong opens as favorites at $1.60, with the Blues at $2.35, but since anyone can win any day at this point, there’s a lot of value to be found in this game for Punters.