AFL – Round 14 in overview

In Round 14 of the 2022 AFL season, two Top 8 candidates suffered crucial defeats as the lights went out in Western Sydney.

Here’s what it looked like to gamblers:

Saints, Swans wrestling

If the battle for the Top 8 was tight before round 14, it became a complete blockade after the weekend. There are now four clubs, from sixth to ninth, on eight wins together. It’s kind of a square-pin-round-hole situation in 2022. And it was tightened even more because of two upset losses. After a huge win over premiers Melbourne, plus a week-long break, Sydney started as $1.68 favorites on the road against Port Adelaide. And after kicking the first three goals, it looked like it was going to be scripted for coach John Longmire. But the Power has been huge from then on and by securing a 23 point win they have kept their season alive. At some point 0-5 in 2022 (and $6 to make it to the Top 8), they’ve been shortened to (still outside) $3.50 AFL Finals hopes.

If the Swans were poor, the Saints on Friday night would be tacky. Strong $1.26 favorites against lowly Essendon, Brett Ratten’s men lost eight of their last 11 goals to 35 points – a ten-goal swing on the pre-game line (St Kilda -24.5). Hopes for the Saints’ final now look much shaky than ever. Consecutive losses have pushed them up from $1.25 to $1.75.

Goal Oversight at Giants Stadium

In the hyper-analyzed era of AFL footy, team defense and all, it’s becoming increasingly rare for three players to score five goals or more in a single game. But that’s exactly what happened at Giants Stadium on Saturday night. Toby Greene (seven goals), Cody Weightman (five) and Aaron Naughton (five) were on-song in a free-flowing clash. And it wasn’t just those three. The 125-105 deficit was the highest-scoring game of the 2022 AFL season. It would break the pre-game Total Points line of 163.5 with a whopping 11 goals. An anomaly, yes. And you like to see that.

A ‘win’ for the Eagles?

In a season as dire as 2022 for the West Coast Eagles, it’s important to recognize the small wins. And losing 18 points to Geelong at home, although not something that screams ‘celebration time’ on paper, was a significant improvement. In fact, after losing their last nine games in a row, this result marked the first time in that period that defeat was no more than 30 points – and no less for a Top 4 AFL side. It also meant they more than covered the pre-game line of 38.5 points. The Eagles remain tied at $1.90 with North Melbourne in Palmerbet’s ‘Least Wins’ market for 2022, with both tied to one win.

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