AFL Tips & Preview – Round 16

Round 16 of the 2022 AFL kicks off with two encounters that will have a major impact on the makeup of both the Top 4 and Top 8 at the end of the season.

Thursday June 30, 7:20 PM (AEST)

Brisbane Western Bulldogs
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
f f
FOL FOL
I/C I/C


History:
Played 59: Brisbane 24 v Western Bulldogs 35

Last meeting: 2021 AFL SF: Brisbane Lions 11.12 (78) lost to Western Bulldogs 11.13 (79)

Final Thoughts: Brisbane will be desperate to come back from a round 15 horror clash in which they were crushed by flag favorites Melbourne. The clash was presented as a real test of who deserved to be number one in 2022, but by the end the Lions had grown significantly from $5.00 to $8.00 in premiership bets. While the result won’t greatly affect their final hopes (Chris Fagan’s men are still solid $1.53 Top 4 hopes), it does raise serious doubts as to whether they will fail again this season. to get past the preliminary final weekend. †

Facing a team of Bulldogs that has been building quietly over the past few weeks, they find themselves (albeit precariously) back in the Top 8. This looms as a distinctive audit on the part, which has only been up against one Top 8 in recent weeks. club (Geelong) has played. five weeks, with that clash resulting in a loss. Furthermore, they face an uphill task against a Lions side that has only lost once in their last 16 games at the Gabba.

Tip: Margin, Brisbane 1-39 @ $2.15

Friday, July 1, 7:50 PM (AEST)

Carlton St Kilda
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
f f
FOL FOL
I/C I/C


History:
Played 223: Carlton 164 v St Kilda 57 (2 draws)

Last meeting: AFL R20 2021: St Kilda 12.9 (81) lost to Carlton 18.4 (112)

Final Thoughts: Despite Carlton being decimated by an injury crisis that has left almost all of their key backs out on the sidelines, Carlton just keeps going in 2022:. And it has some of the game’s most respected pundits saying that now – after a win over hopeful Fremantle – Michael Voss’ side has a real premiership opportunity. Given their strong recent form and St Kilda’s reverse horror three weeks after parting, this clash should earn the Blues a further four points and solidify their Top 4 ambitions this season.

Nothing underscores the Saints’ sharp decline in 2022 than the fact that they kicked just 2.6 to three-quarters last week against the Swans – their lowest three-term return since 2014. They went a whopping 63 minutes without a major in the smaller one. boundaries of the SCG. After being shortened to a strong $1.25 Top 8 hope with Palmerbet, the Saints quickly extended to $3.00 after the defeats, and will find it hard to compete if the Blues get anything close to that. bring their best.

Tip: Line, Carlton -9.5 @ $1.90

Saturday, July 2, 1:45 PM (AEST)

Essendon Sydney
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
f f
FOL FOL
I/C I/C


History:
Played 226: Essendon 123 v Sydney 92 (1 draw)

Last meeting: AFL R9 2022: Sydney 14.21 (105) dftd Essendon 6.11 (47)

Final Thoughts: After all the positivity surrounding their win over the Saints in round 13, the Bombers were brought back to earth last week with a hugely disappointing loss to West Coast. Not only did they fail to take four points against a side that had lost their last nine games at a trot, but Ben Rutten’s men became the first team to allow the Eagles more than 100 points in a whopping 28 games. if they replicate a similar defensive output against the Swans, the win would be a hugely difficult task.

The Swans were dominant in pushing the Saints aside last weekend and there are still four points up for grabs for John Longmire’s men. While they are still relative outsiders to a Top 4 finish, their run home – starting with this encounter – presents a number of ‘gettable’ games, including this one, versus a side they beat by 58 points just seven rounds ago. . Lance Franklin has kicked more goals (77) against Essendon than any other AFL club.

Tip: to kick 3+ goals, Lance Franklin (Syd) @ $1.95

saturday july 24:35 PM (EST)

Adelaide Melbourne
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
f f
FOL FOL
I/C I/C

History: Played 43: Adelaide 26 v Melbourne 17

Last meeting: AFL R22 2021: Melbourne 16.8 (104) dftd Adelaide 9.9 (63)

Final Thoughts: After a horrendous spell off and on the pitch in which they lost three in a row and their back-to-back credentials were questioned, the Dees bounced back in the most dominant fashion last week with a dominant 64-point victory over the then ladder leaders Brisbane. It was the 2021 Dees, in a win that set them back under $3.00 for the 2022 flag with Palmerbet.

While the Crows were clinical against North Melbourne last week, there is little to gain from the win as North now become the first ever AFL/VFL club to lose 10 consecutive games by more than 40 points. The Dees have won their last nine games outside of Melbourne, but they did lose their last clash against the Crows in Adelaide – a one-point thriller in round 10 last year.

Tip: To score 2+ goals, Toby Bedford (Melb) @ $2.75

saturday july 27:25 PM (EST)

Geelong North Melbourne
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
f f
FOL FOL
I/C I/C


History:
Played 168: Geelong 104 v North Melbourne 63 (1 draw)

Last meeting: AFL R6 2022: North Melbourne 9.7 (61) lost to Geelong 17.19 (121)

Final Thoughts: Besides the Pies, Geelong is the only side to have won five on the bounce – the last being a nail-biting win over Richmond in final-style atmosphere at the MCG last week. While he got away with another crucial four points, the win came at a huge cost with defensive maestro Tom Stewart out of the way four games after a late hit over Dion Prestia. Not that the Cats should miss his absence this week in a game they start as the shortest prize favorites possible.

Discouraging fans, North Melbourne is now the first AFL/VFL club to have lost 10 games in a row by more than 40 points. North’s average losing margin on this streak is 59 points. It may come as no surprise that, facing the ruthless Cats, they start out as a whopping $16.70 outsiders — one of the biggest H2H awards this season.

Tip: To score 2+ goals, Brad Close (Yellow) @ $2.60

Saturday, July 2, 7:25 PM (AEST)

Gold Coast Collingwood
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
f f
FOL FOL
I/C I/C

History: Played 12: Gold Coast 3 v Collingwood 9

Last meeting: AFL R7 2022: Collingwood 17.13 (115) dftd Gold Coast 14.6 (90)

Final Thoughts: Five wins at the trot, four points in the Top 8 and a relatively favorable draw ahead; things are looking good for Craig McRae in his first season with the Pies. But there will be little sense of comfort given the blockage of clubs pushing their way in.

They start this one as fringe outsiders against a team of Suns that fell painfully short of victory against Port Adelaide last weekend, with a result that will have huge consequences in their pursuit of a first-ever final series. The result might make them stand out even harder in this one at Metricon, a venue where they’ve won their last four.

Tip: Margin, Gold Coast 1-39 @ $2.20

Sunday, July 3, 2:10 PM (AEST)

Richmond west coast
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
f f
FOL FOL
I/C (from) I/C (from)

History: Played 47: Richmond 20 v West Coast 27

Last meeting: AFL R7 2022: West Coast 8.8 (56) lost to Richmond 25.15 (165)

Final Thoughts: It had only been nine rounds since Richmond defeated the West Coast, who played at home, by 109 points. And while that result is not expected to be replicated, as the Eagles have regained a significant amount of experience since that fateful night, the end result is heavily favored to remain the same. The Tigers will dust themselves off from a heartbreaking loss to Geelong last week and, knowing that percentage could determine the Top 8 make-up at the end of the season, they will be on the hunt for another big win over the Eagles.

Adam Simpson’s men will be bolstered by an overwhelming win in round 15 and at least be sure to be competitive in this one. The Eagles have covered the line in each of their last three games and could very well do so again.

Tip: Line, West Coast +37.5 @ $1.90

Sunday, July 3, 3:20 PM (AEST)

GWS hawthorn
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
f f
FOL FOL
I/C (from) I/C (from)

History: Played 11: GWS 4 v Hawthorn 6 (1 draw)

Last meeting: AFL R15 2021: GWS Giants 11.6 (72) lost to Hawthorn 13.12 (90)

Final Thoughts: Both clubs have a tendency to leak goals, which is further underlined by the fact that both (coincidentally) conceded exactly 125 points to the Western Bulldogs in the last two rounds. Neither will be playing finals in 2022, but that should make little difference to their mentality.

The Giants have a strong record at home against the Hawks, winning their last six games at Giants Stadium. And while there is a general positive perception of the work Sam Mitchell has done in his first year as manager at Hawthorn, the reality is that his side have only won one of their last nine games.

Tip: total score, over 149.5 @ $1.88

Sunday, July 3, 5:20 PM (AEST)

Fremantle Port Adelaide
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
f f
FOL FOL
I/C (from) I/C (from)

History: Played 39: Fremantle 17 v Port Adelaide 22

Last meeting: AFL R11 2021: Port Adelaide 18.7 (115) dftd Fremantle 9.15 (69)

Final Thoughts: Round 16 will conclude with a collision that will have huge consequences for both the Top 4 and Top 8 races. For the Dockers, looking to come back after a disappointing attempt against Carlton (starting as favourites), a loss here could take them outside the Top 4. For the Power , a loss would have more of an impact given their external push for a place in the final . In fact, given that they already have $5.50 to finish in the Top 8 (given a horror 0-5 start to the season), a defeat here would make it extremely difficult for Ken Hinkley’s men, given the blockade on the middle ladder in 2022.

Justin Longmuir’s men have a strong recent record against the Power at home, winning their last four encounters in Perth.

Tip: Line, Fremantle -15.5 @ $1.90