AFL Tips & Preview – Round 17

Round 17 of the 2022 AFL threatens to be a tough one for gamblers, with three of the first five games neck-and-neck in mutual markets.

Thursday, July 7, 7:20 PM (AEST)

Geelong Melbourne
Pos Player Pos Player

B

Z. Guthrie, S. De Koning, J. Bews B H.Petty, J.Lever, S.May
HB J.Henry, M.Blicavs, Z.Tuohy HB C. Salem, M. Hibberd, J. Bowey
C M.Duncan, J.Cameron, I.Smith C A. Brayshaw, C. Oliver, E. Langdon
HF T.Atkins, T.Hawkins, P.Dangerfield HF K.Pickett, L.Jackson, T.Bedford
f B.Close, G.Rohan, T.Stengle f A.Neal-Bullen, B.Brown, C.Spargo
FOL R. Stanley, C. Guthrie, J. Selwood FOL M.Gawn, C.Petracca, J.Viney
I/C S.Menegola, M.Holmes, MO’Connor, G.Miers I/C J.Harmes, J.Jordon, B.Fritsch, T.Sparrow


History:
Played 222: Geelong 132 v Melbourne 88 (2 draws)

Last meeting: AFL PF 2021: Melbourne 19.11 (125) dftd Geelong 6.6 (42)

Final Thoughts: It’s very possible that this real blockbuster to kick off Round 17 is a pre-cursor to the 2022 grand final. Arguably the two most dangerous sides of the competition right now, the clash will serve as a good check of where both clubs are less than two months out for the first week of the final series. After a mid-season slump, normal systems have resumed in Melbourne, which are back to dominant ways but are moving neck and neck away from home in head-to-head markets. Ruck duo Max Gawn and Luke Jackson return in two huge ins.

Geelong has won six and possesses the most powerful forward line of the competition, currently firing on all cylinders. They are arguably the best starting team in the league, having won their last 10 first quarters.

Tip: H2H, Geelong @ $1.93

Friday, July 8, 7:50 PM (AEST)

Sydney Western Bulldogs
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
f f
FOL FOL
I/C I/C


History:
Played 164: Sydney 79 v Western Bulldogs 84 (1 draw)

Last meeting: AFL R3 2022: Western Bulldogs 9.17 (71) dftd Sydney 9.6 (60)

Final Thoughts: Once regarded as a model of consistency in the AFL, the club other clubs aspired to for weekly output, the Swans are fast becoming the league’s most unpredictable club. Their last football month was on the one hand an upset win over Premiership favorites Melbourne and a demolition of St Kilda, but on the other two lackluster efforts against Port Adelaide and, most recently, Essendon. A club that has ambitions to go deep into September just won’t lose it to the Bombers in round 15. So expect them to come back hard here.

Despite all of the Bloods’ mistakes, they are a formidable opponent under the light at the SCG, winning all four night matches at the venue this season, adding to the Dogs’ task. They can overtake the Swans and take them out of the Top 8 in this clash – one in which Tim English is likely to return – underlining how important it is in the race for the final.

Tip: Margin, Sydney 1-39 @ $2.15

Saturday, July 9, 1:45 PM (AEST)

Collingwood North Melbourne
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
f f
FOL FOL
I/C I/C


History:
Played 163: Collingwood 109 v North Melbourne 52 (2 draws)

Last meeting: AFL R8 2021: North Melbourne 11.10 (76) lost to Collingwood 14.10 (94)

Final Thoughts: If things haven’t bottomed out in North Melbourne yet, they’re very close. Eleven straight losses by more than 40 points (a VFL/AFL record) – the latest a 112-point hammer blow from the Cats – have rooted the club at the bottom of the ladder, at under 50 percent, and well and truly in crisis . Despite being handed a 66.5-point handicap last week, that margin was covered by the Cats before the three-quarter siren. Captain Jack Ziebell and number 1 pick Jason Horne-Francis should both return for this one, in much needed ins.

Collingwood, on the other hand, is definitely flying. The only club, besides Geelong, to have won their last six on the bounce are facing it with confidence. The Pies have dominated this game for the past few years, winning six of the last eight and will have no trouble making those seven of the last nine. With a percentage expected to be a big factor in determining Top 8 teams this season, they will see this as a clash to fill their shoes.

Tip: To kick 3+ goals, Jack Ginnivan (Coll) @ $2.30

Saturday July 9th4:35 PM (EST)

Gold Coast Richmond
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
f f
FOL FOL
I/C I/C

History: Played 11: Gold Coast 4 v Richmond 7

Last meeting: AFL R16 2021: Gold Coast 10.17 (77) dftd Richmond 10.7 (67)

Final Thoughts: At one point, at 7-6 with a favorable run home, it looked like Gold Coast was poised to make their first-ever AFL Finals series in 2022. their hopes to squeeze into an ultra-competitive Top 8 this season.

The Tigers are flying and, make no mistake, could take a significant turn on a fourth premiership in six seasons in September. Having dropped to 2-4 earlier this season, Damien Hardwick’s men were considered $31 outsiders, but after a few dominating months they have now been cut to $10. However, the lackluster start to the year makes them susceptible before falling out of the Top 8 if they are knocked out in this. They travel north to a happy hunting ground – Richmond has unbelievably won their last 11 games in a row at Metricon Stadium. Three-time Norm Smith medalist Dustin Martin and Nick Vlaustin are both missing, but they need to get Dion Prestia back.

Tip: H2H, Richmond @ $1.93

Saturday July 9th7:25 PM (EST)

St Kilda Fremantle
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
f f
FOL FOL
I/C I/C


History:
Played 39: St Kilda 22 v Fremantle 17

Last meeting: AFL R2 2022: Fremantle 8.7 (55) lost to St Kilda 9.11 (65)

Final Thoughts: The Saints broke a three-game loss streak last week with an inspired performance against fellow Top 8 hopeful Carlton, and face another tough test this week. But the nature of the Top 8 battle this season is so tight, the pressure remains to keep collecting points or falling behind. Brett Ratten’s men knocked out the Dockers in the west earlier this season; a result that bodes well in this regard. But that was a less confident, less in-form Fremantle side that day. Now the Dockers are flying – in fact they are going so well that they are largely happy to leave two-time Brownlow medalists Nat Fyfe in the front line rather than put him back in midfield.

Two parties that could play footy in September 2022 expect this Saturday evening to go to the extreme.

Tip: H2H, Fremantle @ $1.92

Saturday, July 9, 7:30 PM (AEST)

Port Adelaide GWS
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
f f
FOL FOL
I/C I/C

History: Played 12: Port Adelaide 6 v GWS 6

Last meeting: AFL R20 2021: GWS Giants 11.7 (73) lost to Port Adelaide 15.10 (100)

Final Thoughts: Unlike the five previous matches this weekend, this meeting will almost certainly have no consequences for the composition of the Top 8 in 2022. Port has the least chance of reaching the Finals in 2022, but a lot has to go well for that. , including a big win here. Despite a rollercoaster season for Ken Hinkley’s men, the fact is that they have won their last five in a row at Adelaide Oval, which remains their stronghold.

To cause a shock, the Giants, who will be out of action in 2022, must not only break through the Adelaide Oval fortress, but also get past a Power defense that ranks among the best this season and the sixth-lowest. conceded points.

Tip: Margin, Port Adelaide 1-39 @ $2.08

Sunday, July 10, 1:10 PM (AEST)

Brisbane Essendon
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
f f
FOL FOL
I/C (from) I/C (from)

History: Played 49: Brisbane 21 v Essendon 27 (1 draw)

Last meeting: AFL R2 2022: Essendon 10.15 (75) lost to Brisbane Lions 15.7 (97)

Final Thoughts: The Bombers were brilliant at beating the Swans at home last week, and perhaps the most enjoyable thing for coach Ben Rutten was that it was youngsters flying the flag. Further, their possessions were a matter of quality over quantity; earlier in the season, Darcy Parish and Zach Merrett finished with huge numbers as Essendon suffered heavy defeats, but against the Swans, Nick Hind and Dyson Heppell were the Bombers’ greatest possession getter at just 25.

Despite the positivity around Essendon, the fact that they face a tougher task this week stands against a Lions outfit who won 16 of their last 17 at the Gabba. Chris Fagan’s side will be one step closer to securing a fourth-place finish in the Top 4 with victory here.

Tip: Line, Essendon +29.5 @ $1.90

Sunday, July 10, 3:20 PM (AEST)

hawthorn Adelaide
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
f f
FOL FOL
I/C (from) I/C (from)

History: Played 45: Hawthorn 24 v Adelaide 21

Last meeting: AFL R19 2021: Adelaide 16.6 (102) dftd Hawthorn 13.5 (83)

Final Thoughts: Since Round 7, these two clubs have just three wins to their name as both begin to look towards 2023. The Hawks in particular are having a hard time. While the general feeling is that their rebuilding under Sam Mitchell is moving in the right direction, the hard facts are that the club have lost nine of their last ten games. They have to sing the song fast, especially for the sake of the supporters, and they will hardly get a better chance.

For the Crows, Taylor Walker has scored three goals in five of his last six games at Marvel Stadium, and he could prove the difference in this one.

Tip: H2H, Adelaide @ $2.50

Sunday, July 10, 4:40 PM (AEST)

west coast Carlton
Pos Player Pos Player

B

B
HB HB
C C
HF HF
f f
FOL FOL
I/C (from) I/C (from)

History: Played 47: West Coast 26 v Carlton 21

Last meeting: AFL R12 2021: Carlton 10.13 (73) lost to West Coast 14.11 (95)

Final Thoughts: While none of the losses have been devastating, there are some early signs that Carlton is in a slight decline in 2022 with three defeats in their last five games. The latter, against a previously out-of-the-ordinary St Kilda side, arguably could have been avoided if they had kicked right in the final term. Nevertheless, they have to go back to winning ways, like the blockade on the middle ladder in 2022, otherwise they risk their Top 8 position. The return of star defender Jacob Weitering is a huge boost.

They face the West Coast in a tougher time than the rest of 2022 so far. This isn’t saying much, though, as the Eagles have only won two games this season. But coach Adam Simpson has gained a lot of experience in recent weeks and his side has made it to both Geelong and Richmond in the past two weeks – both Top 4 hopefuls in their own right. So while the Blues start out solid favorites, there’s no way out of the home side pushing them all the way.

Tip: line, west coast +17.5 @ $1.90