TAMPA, Fla. (WFLA) — As the first month of the hurricane season draws to a close, we are beginning to see a slight increase in tropical activity with three systems currently being monitored in the Atlantic Basin.
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a possible tropical cyclone and two other disturbances. None of them pose a major storm threat to the United States, but one could become the next storm of the season – Bonnie.
Potential Tropical Cyclone Two
The NHC began issuing advisories for potential tropical cyclone two in the Caribbean Sea on Monday. It could turn into a named storm sometime this week.
The potential tropical cyclone is about 130 miles southeast of Curacao as of 11 a.m. ET Wednesday, moving west at about 24 mph. According to the NHC, potential tropical cyclone two will pass along Venezuela’s northern coast on Wednesday before passing near Nicaragua on Thursday and Friday.
Maximum sustained winds are about 40 mph as of 11 a.m. The NHC says the system is likely to strengthen in the coming days as it remains afloat.
“Conditions appear conducive to development as the disturbance remains above water, and it is expected to become a tropical storm as it moves westward across the southern Caribbean Sea,” NHC forecasters said.
Potential tropical cyclone two has a high 80 percent change of formation over the next 48 hours and a high 90 percent chance of formation over the next five days.
Two other outages are also monitored by the NHC. The first is a low pressure area in the northern Gulf of Mexico that forecasters say is causing disorganized showers and thunderstorms off the Texas coast.
While the disruption has become unorganized, the NHC believes some development is possible.
“It could become a short-lived tropical depression near the coast” [of Texas] before it heads inland [Wednesday night] or early Thursday,” the NHC said. “Regardless of development, heavy rain will fall along parts of the Texas coast over the next few days.”
Hurricane hunters will investigate the outage on Wednesday afternoon. It has been given an average 40 percent chance of formation over 48 hours and five days.
The second disturbance monitored by the NHC is a tropical wave causing disorganized rain and thunderstorms in the central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
“Slow development of the wave is possible as it moves west-northwest over the next few days,” the NHC said. “The wave is expected to move over the Windward Islands late Friday or early Saturday and then over the eastern Caribbean Sea over the weekend, where further development is unlikely due to adverse environmental conditions.”
The disturbance in the Atlantic Ocean has been given a low formation probability of 10 percent for 48 hours and a low probability of formation of 30 percent over the next five days.
Tracking the Tropics streams at 2 p.m. ET every Wednesday during hurricane season. For the latest updates, check out our Tracking the Tropics website.