Hurricane Center has an eye for 3 Atlantic systems; 1 expected to be developed soon – Orlando Sentinel

In the fifth week of the hurricane season, meteorologists are keeping their eyes on three disruptions with a chance of becoming the season’s second tropical storm.

First, the NHC continues to monitor a tropical wave across the central Atlantic that continues to improve its organization, according to Monday’s update at 8 a.m.

The gulf is located approximately 950 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands. It moves west at 15 to 20 mph, is expected to approach the islands on Tuesday and then enter the southeastern Caribbean Sea on Wednesday and Thursday. Meteorologists speculate that the system will turn into a tropical depression or storm before it hits the islands.

The NHC gives the wave a 70% chance of forming a tropical depression or storm in the next two days and a 90% chance in the next five days. On Monday afternoon, a NOAA Hurricane Hunter plane will investigate the system.

Also, tropical storm watch or warnings may be required for the Windward Islands and the northern coasts of Venezuela.

Subsequently, a low-pressure trough created an area of ​​disorganized showers and thunderstorms from southeastern Louisiana across the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and southern Florida peninsula. The NHC gives it a 10% chance of forming into a tropical system in the next two days, or 20% in the next five days, as it slowly drifts west over the northern Gulf of Mexico.

Finally, the NHC identified a tropical wave several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, causing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Atlantic conditions could mature enough in the coming days for the system to develop into a tropical storm. The NHC gave the wave a 20% chance of developing over the next five days.

If either system develops, it would be the second system of the season after Tropical Storm Alex, which dumped nearly a foot of rain over parts of Florida earlier this month. The next storm named would be Tropical Storm Bonnie.

After Bonnie, the next two names would be Colin and Danielle.

A tropical system could be called a tropical depression without getting tropical storm status. It is not named until the system has withstood winds of 39 mph and is not called a hurricane until it has withstood winds of 74 mph.

The 2022 season runs from June to November. 30 is expected to be another above-normal year for storms after the 30 mentioned storms of 2020 and 21 of 2021.

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