Ketchup Will Be Climate Change’s Next Victim, Study Says

There is bad news for tomato ketchup lovers. A new study has said that climate change will affect global tomato crops in the coming years, impacting supplies of ketchup, a staple in many homes and restaurants around the world.

Ketchup is made from red, sweet, juicy and ripe tomatoes, which are at risk from rising temperatures, study published in Nature

The team of researchers led by Aarhus University in Denmark created a mathematical model, reproduced in the study, to estimate how rising temperature will affect tomato production.

They said Italy, China and California are the top tomato-producing countries – responsible for two-thirds of global production. And they’re all at risk from global warming, the study said.

Using the mathematical model, the researchers found that in the worst case scenario, between 2050 and 2100, the harvest would halve.

The research further said that by 2050, tomato production would have fallen by six percent.

In a worst-case scenario, temperatures in tomato-growing regions could rise by about 2.6 degrees Celsius between 2040 and 2069 and by 5 degrees Celsius over the next 30 years. The reference period for comparison was between 1980 and 2009.

“Atmospheric CO2 concentration may offset, but not fully offset, the adverse effects of elevated temperatures,” the June 6 study said.

The computerized mathematical model further predicted that the global crop of processed tomatoes — used to make tomato paste and ketchup — among the 11 largest growers will fall from the current 14 million tons to less than seven million tons.

Last month, a report said the debilitating heat wave that scorched India and Pakistan in March and April was made 30 times more likely by climate change.

It added that as the planet continues to warm, the interval between such killer heat waves will shrink even further.